Commodity Snapshot shows Gold prices fell against a stronger dollar as investors assessed the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut this year.
Oil prices fell amid rising U.S. stockpiles. China topped up gold reserves for 18 months, but the pace of buying slowed. Technically, gold has broken out from a multi-year consolidation phase, entering a multi-year bull market.
Oil market benchmarks fell over 1% due to a pile-up in US crude and fuel inventories, weak demand, and cautious supply expectations ahead of OPEC+ policy meeting. Russian Deputy Prime Minister suggests production raise.
Natural gas prices rose due to production decline and increased feedgas for LNG export facilities. The U.S. natural gas market reached its lowest level since 2020, but has since rebounded.
U.S. natural gas prices are expected to rise, but risks include comfortable storage levels and potential gas production surprises. Global market weakness has attracted price-sensitive buyers in Asia.
Energy
Crude oil (CL1:COM) -1.16% to $77.47.
Natural Gas (NG1:COM) +1.53% to $2.24.
Metals
Palladium (XPDUSD:CUR) -0.72% to $968.50.
Platinum (XPTUSD:CUR) -1.13% to $977.50.
Gold (XAUUSD:CUR) -0.14% to $2,311.75.
Agriculture
Corn (C_1:COM) -3.10% to $452.54.
Wheat (W_1:COM) -3.26% to $621.81.
Soybeans (S_1:COM) +0.10% to $1,230.53.
Must read book about investing – check here
Gold prices are expected to gain for the first time since October due to the US Federal Reserve’s anticipated interest rate cut in June. The Reserve Bank of India’s gold holding increased to 812.3 tonnes in January, from 803.58 tonnes in December 2023. However, Commerzbank sees limited upside potential due to the mystery surrounding the price increase. It is unlikely that gold prices will fall back to February levels, as the Fed is expected to cut interest rates in June.
Spot gold was trading -0.3% lower at $2,176.89 an ounce as markets awaited the release of U.S. CPI data, which could influence the Federal Reserve’s policy path. A hotter-than-expected reading could delay the central bank’s easing cycle. Low interest rates help bullion by reducing the opportunity cost of holding the zero-yielding asset. A mixed tone prevailed across commodity sectors, with China’s economic growth concerns affecting bulks and supply concerns supporting industrial metals.
Natural gas and crude oil prices were trading in the green, while oil prices fell earlier due to persistent demand concerns in China. NS Trading president Hiroyuki Kikukawa said that concerns over weak demand in China outweighed the extension of supply cuts by OPEC+. Mixed US jobs data prompted some traders to adjust positions. However, losses will be capped by increased geopolitical risk, with the possibility of a ceasefire in the Hamas-Israel war and conflict expansion in Russia and its neighbors. Europe remains the most impacted region, as oil product shipments from Asia have fallen since January. OPEC+’s voluntary production cut agreement could tighten the market as demand recovers from its seasonal lull.
Natural gas and crude oil prices were trading in the green, while oil prices fell earlier due to persistent demand concerns in China. NS Trading president Hiroyuki Kikukawa said that concerns over weak demand in China outweighed the extension of supply cuts by OPEC+. Mixed US jobs data prompted some traders to adjust positions. However, losses will be capped by increased geopolitical risk, with the possibility of a ceasefire in the Hamas-Israel war and conflict expansion in Russia and its neighbors. Europe remains the most impacted region, as oil product shipments from Asia have fallen since January. OPEC+’s voluntary production cut agreement could tighten the market as demand recovers from its seasonal lull.